Core Viewpoint - The technology sector showed mixed performance in February, with US cloud vendors raising capital expenditures, but concerns over capital return rates and cash flow increased, putting pressure on some cloud services and SaaS segments. The focus of narratives and valuations has shifted towards computing power, advanced processes, equipment, storage, CPO, and liquid cooling [1]. Group 1 - The demand for computing power is expected to continue exceeding expectations both domestically and internationally, with upstream segments likely to maintain a favorable outlook and price increases, making it a clear growth direction for technology sector allocation [1]. - Recent developments from overseas companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are driving demand for cloud computing power and tokens beyond expectations, with dual growth in inference and training due to competition in large models. However, ROI and cash flow remain variables, making upstream segments more certain for performance growth [1]. - Domestic large models are rapidly iterating, with models like GLM-5, KIMI K2.5, and Seedance 2.0 gradually closing the gap with overseas counterparts, achieving usability and price increases in areas such as coding and video generation, indicating extreme tightness in computing power [1]. Group 2 - Upcoming events such as NVIDIA's GTC and OFC conferences may validate new technology trends in CPO/NPO and LPU, with a dense release period for next-generation large models starting in March. Domestic DeepSeek V4+ and Ascend 950 are expected to launch, suggesting a focus on new technology trends and domestic computing power [2].
中信证券:算力需求持续超预期 科技配置主线向上游迁移