Trump's war predictions, Pershing Square files for IPO, Anthropic's lawsuit and more in Morning Squawk

Group 1: Market Updates - Stock futures are lower as the market comes off a winning but volatile day [1] - Prediction markets indicate a rising probability of a U.S. recession, with odds jumping above 34% on Kalshi [4] Group 2: Company Developments - Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management is filing to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "PS," with $2.8 billion in secured commitments from family offices, pension funds, and high-net-worth individuals [2] - Stellantis is utilizing components from unexpected automotive suppliers, including a hybrid system from Toyota-backed Blue Nexus for its new Jeep SUV and technology from Bosch for its extended-range electric vehicles [9][10] Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Issues - Anthropic is suing the federal government over its blacklisting by the Pentagon, claiming it is "unprecedented and unlawful," which could set a troubling precedent for U.S.-based AI vendors [7][8]