Core Viewpoint - The energy sector is currently positioned to benefit from elevated oil prices, with geopolitical risks not fully reflected in market pricing, particularly in light of the ongoing Middle East conflict [3][4]. Company Summaries Magnolia Oil & Gas - Magnolia operates in the southeastern Texas region, particularly in Giddings and Karnes, with its Karnes holdings located in the core of the Eagle Ford Shale formation [1]. - The company reported an average daily production of 103.8 Mboe/d in Q4 2025, an 11% increase from Q4 2024, with Giddings area production accounting for 79% of total output [7]. - Magnolia's Q4 2025 revenue was $317.6 million, down 2.7% year-over-year but exceeding forecasts by $3.89 million, with over $215 million derived from oil production [9]. - The company has been increasing its dividend since 2022, with a recent declaration of $0.165 per share, resulting in an annualized yield of 2.3% [8]. - UBS analyst Peyton Dorne raised the price target for Magnolia from $29 to $35, reflecting an increase in the 2027E EV/EBITDAX multiple, indicating a positive outlook for the company [10]. Chord Energy - Chord Energy operates in the Williston Basin, primarily in North Dakota and Montana, focusing on the Bakken Shale formation [12]. - The company reported $1.17 billion in revenues for Q4 2025, down 19% year-over-year but beating forecasts by $140 million, with an adjusted diluted EPS of $1.28 [15]. - Chord has a steady dividend policy, recently declaring a $1.30 per share dividend, which annualizes to $5.20 per share, yielding 4.22% [14]. - The company generated an adjusted free cash flow of $175 million in Q4 2025, returning approximately 50% to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks [16]. - UBS analyst Josh Silverstein rated Chord as a Buy with a price target of $142, indicating a potential 15% gain over the next 12 months [17].
‘Buy Energy’: UBS Suggests 2 Energy Stocks to Consider Amid Geopolitical Risk