Cai Jing Wang·2026-03-12 08:13Group 1 - The A-share coal sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with leading stocks like China Coal Energy hitting a historical high since February 2008, reaching 19.66 yuan per share, a 9.77% increase, and a total market capitalization of 234.2 billion yuan [1] - Other coal stocks such as Zhengzhou Coal Electricity, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and Jinneng Technology also saw strong performance, with several stocks in the sector rising over 4% [1] - The ongoing crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is contributing to market volatility, with reports of attacks on foreign oil tankers in Iraq, leading to heightened geopolitical tensions [1] Group 2 - The International Energy Agency (IEA) announced the release of 400 million barrels of strategic oil reserves to address global oil supply concerns due to military actions involving the US and Israel against Iran, although this has not alleviated market anxiety [2] - Oil prices have surged, with Brent crude futures rising over 8% to above $100, indicating that unless the security of the Strait of Hormuz is ensured, policy measures may have limited impact on oil prices [2] - The rising oil prices are driving demand for coal as a substitute fuel, with estimates suggesting that if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, global coal demand for electricity could increase by 84-86 million tons annually, and domestic coal consumption in China could rise by nearly 50 million tons [2] Group 3 - Supply-side disruptions are also supporting coal prices, with Indonesia reducing coal production quotas, leading to tighter coal supply for China and increased prices for Australian coal imports [3] - The uncertain supply outlook from Indonesia, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, is likely to create a phase of tight global coal supply and demand, further strengthening price support [3]