Core Viewpoint - Investors are advised to remain calm and not to panic sell their portfolios amid market volatility caused by the Iran war, as historical trends suggest that staying invested is more beneficial in the long run [1][2]. Market Reaction - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced declines of approximately 1.5% and 1.8%, respectively, while U.S. oil prices surged over 9.5%, settling above $95 per barrel. Brent crude also rose above $100 for the first time since 2022 due to geopolitical tensions [2][3]. Timing the Market - Caution is advised against exiting the market during declines, as accurately timing re-entry is challenging. The ideal scenario of selling at a peak and re-entering just before a market rebound is unrealistic [3]. Presidential Influence - The Trump administration is likely to seek a swift resolution to the conflict to avoid a bear market, as the president views stock market performance as a measure of success. The S&P 500 is currently only 4.7% below its recent highs, which does not constitute a correction [3][4]. Historical Context - Past actions by the Trump administration indicate a willingness to adjust policies that negatively impact the market. For instance, a significant sell-off occurred after the announcement of tariffs, but stocks rebounded quickly when those tariffs were paused [4][5]. Speculation on Conflict Resolution - There is speculation about potential back-channel negotiations through Qatar that could lead to a resolution of the Iran conflict. The expectation is that the war will eventually end, and being invested in stocks ahead of a ceasefire is likely to be advantageous [5].
Jim Cramer: Don't let Iran war-induced market volatility scare you out of stocks
CNBC·2026-03-12 23:23