Oil Above $100: Why Game Theory Suggests This Spike Won't Last

Market Reaction - Since the US and Israel began striking Iran on February 28th, the S&P 500 has decreased by 3% and the Dow Jones index has fallen by 5.6% [1] - Crude oil prices have surged over 50% in response to the geopolitical tensions [1] Investment Philosophy - The company focuses on fundamental investing, aiming to identify underpriced securities based on their potential future cash flows [1] - Tactical allocation is employed, with more aggressive investments during lower equity prices and a conservative approach when prices are higher [1] Investment Track Record - The company has a notable investment history, including significant gains in AI, tech, and crypto sectors, with specific examples such as NVDA achieving an 8000% gain since 2017 [1] - Other successful investments include PLTR at IPO with a 1870% gain, AMD in 2017 with a 3700% gain, and TSLA in 2016 with a 3400% gain [1] - The company had all of the "Mag 7" stocks in its portfolio by 2018, prior to their recognition as such [1] Current Portfolio Performance - The current demo portfolio, initiated in April 2025 with approximately $8,000, has achieved a Sharpe ratio of 3.49, outperforming IVV's ratio of 2.42 during the same period [1] - The average time-weighted return of the demo portfolio is 0.30% per day, compared to IVV's 0.14% per day [1]