SPY Has Survived Every Geopolitical Shock of the Last 30 Years. This One Is Unlikely to Be the Exception.

Core Insights - Current geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, raise concerns about potential market impacts, although a bear market has not yet been established [1] - Historical data suggests that markets have previously recovered from significant shocks, with the S&P 500 and related ETFs reaching new highs after past crises [2][5] Market Resilience - Since 1980, the S&P 500 has increased over 6,300%, excluding dividends, despite experiencing six recessions and eight bear markets during this period [6][7] - Major global events that once caused widespread fear, such as the Fukushima disaster, Gulf War, and COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately did not have the long-term negative impacts that were anticipated [8]