2 Semiconductor Stocks to Sell Before They Drop 32% and 43%, According to Wall Street Analysts (Hint: Not Nvidia)
The Motley Fool·2026-03-22 08:12

Group 1: Micron Technology - Micron Technology reported a significant revenue increase of 196% to $23.8 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2026, driven by record sales in DRAM, HBM, and NAND memory products [4] - The company achieved a non-GAAP net income increase of 682% to $12.20 per diluted share, setting new records across revenue, gross margin, earnings per share, and free cash flow [5] - Despite strong performance, analysts predict a potential 43% downside for Micron, with a bear-case target price set at $240 per share by Morgan Stanley [9] - The semiconductor industry is facing a supply shortage due to high demand for AI infrastructure, which has caused memory chip prices to triple or quadruple recently [6] - Historical trends suggest that current supply shortages may lead to a future supply glut, resulting in decreased prices and potentially lower valuations for Micron [7][10] Group 2: Intel - Intel has lost substantial market share in the CPU market over the last decade due to execution missteps, allowing competitors like TSMC and AMD to gain an advantage [11][12] - The company has experienced a 16% decline in sales, a 7 percentage point contraction in gross margin, and a 99% drop in net income since the AI boom began in early 2023 [13] - Intel's turnaround strategy focuses on gaining share in chip manufacturing services, with potential government incentives for using American foundries [14] - However, skepticism remains regarding Intel's ability to execute this strategy effectively, given its history of technical missteps and the dominance of TSMC in advanced chip manufacturing [15][16] - Analysts estimate a 32% downside for Intel, with a target price of $30 per share set by Rosenblatt Securities, despite projected earnings growth of 20% in 2026 [9][16]