智通财经网·2026-03-23 09:30Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that AIA Group (01299) is expected to meet performance expectations for the fiscal year 2025, with a slowdown in new business value growth in Q4, but positive growth momentum anticipated in major markets for 2026 [1] Group 1: Business Performance - New business value in mainland China is expected to grow over 20% year-on-year during January to February 2026 [1] - Strong growth momentum in Hong Kong is also expected to continue into 2026 [1] Group 2: Valuation and Forecasts - Concerns regarding the high proportion of savings-type products are reflected in the current low P/EV multiples compared to historical averages, making the risk-return profile attractive [1] - Goldman Sachs has updated its forecasts, raising the expected new business value/EV ratio for AIA from 1% to 2% for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 [1] - Operating profit after tax forecasts have been increased by 2% to 3% [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - The target price for AIA has been raised from HKD 96 to HKD 97 [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on the stock [1]