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Tencent Stock Falls as China Cracks Down on Gaming Again. Buy the Dip or Stay Away?
TCEHYTENCENT(TCEHY) The Motley Fool·2023-12-27 07:05

Group 1: Market Context - Chinese investors face challenges from geopolitical tensions, regulatory crackdowns, and COVID lockdowns, leading to low valuations for high-quality Chinese stocks compared to U.S. tech stocks [1] - Tencent's stock has significantly declined due to government regulations affecting big tech and gaming companies, with a recent drop of 10% following new gaming regulations [1][6] Group 2: New Regulations - Chinese authorities announced new rules for video game play, banning digital rewards for certain behaviors and prohibiting auctioning digital items and "lucky draw" features for minors [2][3] - The new regulations were unexpected, as investors believed that video game regulations had concluded after previous restrictions in 2021 [3] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The new rules may address addictive behaviors and low-quality revenue, indicating a potential positive long-term impact on the gaming industry [4] - Chinese regulators approved 145 new games recently, suggesting a willingness to support the industry despite new restrictions [4][5] Group 4: Tencent's Resilience - Tencent's domestic gaming revenue was 32.7 billion yuan (4.58billion),accountingforonly214.58 billion), accounting for only 21% of overall revenue, indicating a balanced business model [6][7] - Despite regulatory impacts, Tencent's domestic games revenue fell only 7% in Q3 2022 and has since bounced back to 5% growth [7] Group 5: Valuation and Investment Opportunity - Tencent's stock trades at approximately 13.4 times earnings, with a significant investment portfolio valued at over 113 billion, making it appear undervalued [8][9] - Stripping out investments, Tencent trades at around 8.5 times earnings, suggesting a strong investment opportunity amidst the fear-driven sell-off [9]