What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Moody's (MCO) Q1 Earnings

Core Insights - Moody's is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.06 per share, reflecting a 2.3% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.73 billion, a 17.9% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 0.3% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [1] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's Analytics' to reach $806.74 million, a 9.5% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] - 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's investor services' is expected to be $874.35 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 19.3% [2] - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Relationship' is estimated at $312.42 million, suggesting a 3.5% year-over-year increase [2] Additional Revenue Projections - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Transaction' is likely to reach $605.12 million, reflecting a significant 40.4% increase from the year-ago quarter [3] - The overall 'Revenue- Moody's investor services' is expected to be $913.86 million, indicating a 17.5% year-over-year change [3] - 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics' is projected at $809.92 million, a 9.5% increase from the prior-year quarter [3] - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Public, project and infrastructure finance' is estimated at $138.92 million, a 7.7% increase year-over-year [3] - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Financial institutions' is forecasted to reach $151.75 million, indicating a 6.9% increase from the previous year [3] Further Revenue Insights - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Structured finance' is expected to be $121.94 million, reflecting a 23.2% year-over-year change [4] - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Corporate finance' is projected at $454.13 million, indicating a 27.6% increase from the prior-year quarter [4] - The estimate for 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- MIS Other' stands at $7.28 million, suggesting a 4% year-over-year change [4] - 'Adjusted Operating income / (loss)- Moody's Analytics' is estimated at $240.10 million, compared to $214 million from the previous year [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Moody's have returned -4.3%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2% [5] - Moody's currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [5]