Has Zoom Video's Stock Reached its Peak Growth Potential?

Core Insights - Zoom Video Communications reported a revenue increase of 3% year over year to $1.14 billion for Q1 fiscal 2025, surpassing analysts' estimates by $10 million, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 16% to $1.35, exceeding forecasts by $0.16 [1][5] Financial Performance - The revenue growth for Zoom has slowed significantly, with only a 3% increase in fiscal 2024, and projections for Q2 fiscal 2025 indicate a mere 1% revenue growth year over year [5][6] - Adjusted EPS growth has been more favorable, with a 19% increase attributed to layoffs and cost-cutting measures, although a dip of 10% is expected for Q2 fiscal 2025 [5][6] Market Position and Competition - Zoom's growth was initially driven by the pandemic, but competition from larger tech companies like Microsoft and Google has intensified, impacting its market share [2][4] - The company attempted to acquire Five9 to enhance its ecosystem, but the deal fell through, limiting its growth opportunities [4] Customer Base and Product Development - Zoom has been focusing on attracting higher-value business customers by expanding its AI-powered tools and services, resulting in an 8.5% year-over-year increase in large customers contributing over $100,000 in revenue [7] - Despite this, total enterprise revenue, which constitutes 58% of its total revenue, only grew by 5% year over year in Q1 fiscal 2025 [8] Future Outlook - The adjusted gross margin is expected to decline from 80% in fiscal 2024 to 79% in fiscal 2025 as the company invests in expanding its cloud infrastructure [8] - While Zoom's hypergrowth phase appears to be over, its valuation at 13 times forward earnings suggests limited downside potential, although better-diversified tech investments may offer more attractive opportunities [10]