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Why Is Martin Marietta (MLM) Down 4.6% Since Last Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - Martin Marietta reported mixed results for Q1 2024, with earnings exceeding estimates but revenues falling short, indicating potential challenges ahead [2][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS was $1.93, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.88 by 2.7%, but down 10.7% from $2.16 in the previous year [4]. - Total revenues were $1.25 billion, a decrease of 7.6% year-over-year from $1.35 billion, and missed the consensus mark of $1.3 billion by 3.4% [4]. Segment Analysis - Building Materials segment revenues were $1.17 billion, down 7.9% year-over-year, with a gross margin decline of 100 basis points to 21% [5]. - Aggregates revenues fell 3% to $885 million, with shipments down 12.3% year-over-year, although average selling price increased by 12.2% [6]. - Cement and ready-mixed concrete revenues dropped 22.1% to $265 million, with cement shipments down 37.1% due to divestitures and adverse weather [7]. - Asphalt and Paving revenues slightly increased to $59 million, while Magnesia Specialties revenues decreased by 3% to $81 million [8]. Operating Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA was $291 million, a decline of 10.2% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 23%, down 70 basis points [9]. Liquidity and Cash Flow - As of March 31, 2024, cash and cash equivalents stood at $2.65 billion, up from $1.27 billion at the end of 2023, with $1.2 billion of unused borrowing capacity [10]. 2024 Guidance - The company updated its revenue guidance to $6.9-$7.3 billion, reflecting a 5% increase at midpoint from $6.78 billion in 2023 [11]. - Adjusted EBITDA is now projected to be between $2.3 billion and $2.44 billion, indicating an 11% growth at midpoint from $2.13 billion in 2023 [11]. - Net earnings from continuing operations are anticipated to be $2.21-$2.3 billion, up 88% at midpoint year-over-year [12]. Aggregate Expectations - Aggregate shipment growth is expected to be up 2-6%, with total aggregate pricing per ton anticipated to rise 11-13% [12]. - Aggregate gross profit is projected to be within the $1.71-$1.79 billion range, reflecting a 27% increase at midpoint from 2023 [13]. Market Sentiment - Estimates for the stock have trended upward recently, indicating a positive outlook [14][16]. - Martin Marietta holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [16].