Group 1 - The AI trade is showing signs of losing momentum as 2025 comes to a close, with investors becoming less confident in companies like Oracle to deliver profitable results [1] - Gary Alexander, with extensive experience in technology and startups, has been actively contributing insights on industry trends since 2017 [1]

Core Insights - The AI trade is showing signs of losing momentum as of late 2025, with investors becoming less confident in companies like Oracle to deliver profitable results [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - There are indications that the AI sector is experiencing a decline in investor confidence, particularly regarding the profitability of major players [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in technology sectors, having worked on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, and has been an adviser to several startups [1]

Core Viewpoint - Anna Paulina Luna, a Republican Congresswoman, has accused Nancy Pelosi of insider trading, claiming her investment returns of approximately 17,000% surpass even Warren Buffett's performance, which Luna argues is statistically improbable without insider trading involvement [1][3]. Allegations Against Nancy Pelosi - Luna labeled Pelosi as the "REAL 'Wolf of Wall Street'" during her speech, asserting that Pelosi's investment success is indicative of insider trading practices [2][3]. - Republican National Committee spokesperson Kiersten Pels echoed similar sentiments, stating that Pelosi's financial achievements would lead to imprisonment for anyone else [4]. Investment Returns - Reports indicate that Nancy Pelosi and her husband have generated at least $130 million in profits from stock investments, achieving a return of approximately 16,930% over her 37-year congressional career [5][6]. - The couple's stock portfolio, initially valued between $610,000 and $785,000 in 1987, has grown to an estimated $133.7 million by November 2025 [5][6]. Portfolio Performance - The Pelosis' portfolio has outperformed major indices, achieving a return of 16,930% compared to the Dow Jones index's 2,300% over the same period [7]. - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the Pelosis' portfolio stands at 14.5%, significantly exceeding the 7-9% CAGR of the Dow, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 [7]. Recent Performance - In 2024, the Pelosis' portfolio reportedly added 54% returns, which is double the S&P 500's 25% return and higher than any other hedge fund in the U.S. [8]. - The couple's portfolio includes investments in major companies such as Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia [8]. Wealth Accumulation - By November 2025, the combined net worth of Nancy Pelosi and her husband is estimated at $280 million, a significant increase from $3 million in 1987 [9]. - Their real estate holdings include an $8.7 million home in San Francisco and a property in Washington D.C. originally purchased for $650,000 in 1999 [9].

Core Viewpoint - H.B. Fuller is expected to be at or near troughs in many of its businesses as it heads into 2026, despite sluggish consumer spending and a relatively healthy job market [1] Group 1: Business Performance - Many of H.B. Fuller's businesses are projected to be at or near troughs, indicating potential stabilization or recovery in the near future [1] - The current economic environment shows sluggish consumer spending, which may impact H.B. Fuller's sales [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The job market remains relatively healthy, which could provide some support for consumer spending and, in turn, H.B. Fuller's business performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street is optimistic about Nvidia's stock performance, with a significant price increase and a high consensus price target, while Onsemi is also highlighted as a potential growth stock, albeit with mixed analyst opinions [1][5][11]. Company Analysis: Nvidia - Nvidia's share price has increased by approximately 30% this year, with 60 out of 64 analysts rating it as a "buy" or "strong buy" [1]. - The consensus 12-month price target for Nvidia reflects a potential upside of 44% [1]. Company Analysis: ON Semiconductor (Onsemi) - Evercore ISI analyst Mark Lipacis raised Onsemi's price target from $68 to $80, indicating a 47% increase from its share price at the market close on December 18, 2025 [3]. - Onsemi's current market capitalization is $22 billion, with a gross margin of 35.06% [5]. - The average price target for Onsemi suggests a modest upside of only 9%, with fewer than half of analysts rating it as a "buy" or "strong buy" [5][6]. Market Potential - Onsemi's total addressable market is estimated at $44 billion, expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 18% [8]. - The company is focusing on new vertical gallium nitride (vGaN) power semiconductors, which can reduce energy loss by up to 50%, making them attractive for AI data centers [9]. Growth Drivers - Onsemi's recent acquisition of Aura Semiconductor's Vcore power technologies is expected to enhance its offerings for next-generation AI data centers [10]. - Management projects a revenue growth of 10% to 12% CAGR by 2027, which is three times the growth rate of the semiconductor industry [11]. Challenges - Onsemi's Q3 revenue fell by 12% year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share decreased by 32% [11]. - The slowdown in U.S. electric vehicle (EV) adoption poses a risk to Onsemi's growth in the EV segment, influenced by regulatory changes [12]. Valuation - Onsemi's shares trade at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5, which may not be low enough to attract significant investor interest [13].

Core Points - A significant power outage affected approximately 130,000 residents in San Francisco, a city with a population of around 800,000 [1][5] - Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) reported that by 11 p.m. Saturday, power was restored to about 95,000 customers, leaving around 35,000 still without service [1][5] - The outage resulted in traffic congestion and led to temporary closures of some businesses [2][5] Company Impact - PG&E managed to restore power to a large portion of affected customers, indicating effective response efforts [1][5] - The company reported no injuries to workers or the public during the outage, reflecting on their operational safety protocols [1][5] Industry Response - The San Francisco Department of Emergency Management issued guidelines for residents, advising them to only call 9-1-1 for life safety emergencies and to treat downed traffic signals as four-way stops [2][5] - Recommendations included keeping refrigerator and freezer doors closed and turning off major appliances to prevent surges, highlighting the importance of public safety during outages [2][5]

Core Insights - Layoffs in 2025 have reached 1.17 million, the highest since the Covid-19 pandemic, with AI responsible for approximately 55,000 of these job cuts in the U.S. [1][2] - In October 2025, U.S. employers announced 153,000 job cuts, with over 71,000 in November, and AI cited for over 6,000 layoffs in November alone [2] - AI is seen as a short-term solution for companies facing inflation and rising costs, with a study indicating it could replace 11.7% of the U.S. labor market and save $1.2 trillion in wages across various sectors [3] Industry Analysis - The job market in 2025 has been significantly impacted by AI, leading to substantial layoffs as companies seek to cut costs [1][3] - Some experts argue that the layoffs may not solely be due to AI, suggesting that companies may be using it as an excuse for overhiring during the pandemic [4] - Major firms are incorporating AI into their layoff and restructuring strategies, indicating a shift in workforce management [5]

Core Points - Rocket Lab Corporation successfully launched its 21st Electron rocket of the year, setting a new annual launch record with 100% mission success [3][4] - The mission, named 'The Wisdom God Guides', deployed the QPS-SAR-15 satellite for the Institute for Q-shu Pioneers of Space, Inc. (iQPS), enhancing their Earth imaging capabilities [2][4] - Rocket Lab plans to expand its Electron launch services in 2026, targeting more multi-launch constellation deployments and missions for domestic and international space agencies [4] Company Overview - Rocket Lab is a leading space company providing launch services, spacecraft, payloads, and satellite components for commercial, government, and national security markets [5] - The Electron rocket is recognized as the world's most frequently launched small-lift orbital rocket, with a total of 79 missions completed [4][5] - The company is also developing the Neutron launch vehicle to support medium launch capabilities for various missions [5]

Core Viewpoint - Energy Transfer has decided to suspend the development of its Lake Charles LNG project, which has faced numerous challenges over the past decade, despite having secured commercial agreements and nearing a Final Investment Decision (FID) [1][2][4]. Group 1: Project Challenges - The Lake Charles LNG project was designed to liquefy and export 16.5 million metric tons per annum but has encountered obstacles such as difficult marketing conditions, loss of joint venture partner Shell, intense competition, and permitting issues [4]. - The company aimed to sell down 80% of its interest to equity partners before moving forward, but has only secured a 30% stake from MidOcean Energy, leaving 50% interest unsold [7]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - Energy Transfer is shifting its focus to capital allocation for its growing backlog of natural gas pipeline infrastructure projects, which present better risk/reward profiles compared to Lake Charles LNG [8]. - The company has announced an increase in the transportation capacity of the Transwestern Pipeline's Desert Southwest expansion project, now planning a 48-inch pipeline with a capacity of up to 2.3 billion cubic feet per day at a cost of $5.6 billion [9]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Energy Transfer expects its 2026 capital spending to rise to $5.2 billion, an increase of $200 million from its initial budget, allowing for multiple expansions including the Hugh Brinson Pipeline [10]. - The company is also working on several other projects, including potential expansions of the Dakota Access Pipeline, which is on track for an FID by mid-next year [11]. Group 4: Investment Discipline - The company is adopting a more disciplined approach to project approvals, focusing on the best investment opportunities to avoid financial strain, which has led to the suspension of the Lake Charles LNG project [13].

Company Overview - Primoris Services Corporation is a leading specialty contractor in the engineering and construction sector, focusing on utilities, energy, and pipeline services [7] - The company reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $7.46 billion and net income of $277.14 million as of September 30, 2025 [5][10] - Primoris offers a range of services including construction, fabrication, maintenance, replacement, and engineering across various segments [10] Investment Activity - Informed Momentum Co LLC initiated a new position in Primoris Services Corporation, acquiring 67,981 shares valued at $9.18 million, representing 1.05% of the fund's total reportable assets under management (AUM) of $872.25 million [2][3] - This new position made Primoris the fourth largest holding among Informed Momentum's 254 equities [11] Market Performance - As of November 14, 2025, Primoris shares were priced at $118.04, reflecting a 50.2% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 37.14 percentage points [3][5] - The company experienced a substantial revenue increase of 32% year-over-year in the third quarter, reaching $2.2 billion [12] Industry Context - Primoris is benefiting from the growing demand for infrastructure projects, particularly those aimed at expanding U.S. data center capacity to support artificial intelligence [12][13] - The AI industry is anticipated to undergo significant expansion, which could lead to continued sales growth for Primoris [13]