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新和成:维生素价格上涨,看好景气修复

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4][7]. Core Views - The vitamin industry has been at a low point for the past two years, but there are signs of recovery as downstream farming profits improve and exports increase. The company, as a leading global vitamin producer, is expected to benefit from this recovery [4][5]. - Recent price increases for various vitamins, including a rise in the average price of VA to 83 RMB/kg and VE to 74 RMB/kg, suggest a strengthening market. The overall vitamin supply-demand dynamics are anticipated to improve [5][6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the vitamin market, with significant production capacities for VA and VE, and is also expanding into methionine production, which is expected to contribute to profit growth [6][7]. Summary by Sections Company Information - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector, with a current stock price of 19.16 RMB and a market capitalization of 58.524 billion RMB. The stock has seen a 29.7% increase over the past year [1][2]. Recent Ratings - The company has received "Trading Buy" ratings in previous reports, with the latest rating issued on August 30, 2023, at a closing price of 15.99 RMB [2]. Product Portfolio - The company's product mix includes 65.3% nutrition products, 21.7% flavor and fragrance products, 7.9% new materials, and 5.1% other categories [2]. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - Vitamin prices have shown signs of recovery, with significant increases noted in June 2024. The report highlights that the demand for vitamins, particularly as feed additives, is expected to rise due to improved farming profits [5][6]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 36 billion RMB in 2024, 45 billion RMB in 2025, and 55 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 24%, and 23% respectively. The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for these years are 1.17 RMB, 1.44 RMB, and 1.77 RMB [7][8].