TINCI(002709) 国联证券·2024-06-30 08:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tianci Materials (002709) with a current price of 17.72 yuan [1] Core Views - Tianci Materials dominates the global electrolyte market with a leading market share and benefits from its integrated industrial chain, which provides significant cost advantages [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for power and energy storage batteries, with its new energy structural adhesive business accelerating and enhancing profitability [2] - The global lithium-ion battery (LIB) market is projected to grow significantly, with LIB shipments expected to reach 2387 GWh by 2026, a CAGR of 27% [3] - The global electrolyte market is forecasted to grow to 2.92 million tons by 2026, with a CAGR of 31%, driven by the demand for power and energy storage batteries [3] - The company's integrated electrolyte industrial chain, with over 95% self-supply of lithium salts and over 80% self-supply of key additives, provides a strong cost advantage [4] - Tianci Materials' lithium salt sales and structural adhesive business are expected to contribute new profit growth points, with orders from major clients like BYD, Guoxuan High-Tech, and CATL [5] Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 16.12 billion yuan, 19.87 billion yuan, and 22.91 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.6%, 23.3%, and 15.3% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.28 billion yuan, 1.96 billion yuan, and 2.71 billion yuan for 2024-2026, with a three-year CAGR of 12.7% [6] Industry Analysis - The global electrolyte market is expected to grow significantly, with demand driven by the increasing adoption of electric vehicles and energy storage systems [3] - The company's market share in the domestic electrolyte market is 36.4%, and its global market share is 31.2%, both ranking first [4] - The global lithium-ion battery market is projected to reach 2387 GWh by 2026, with a CAGR of 27%, driven by the growth in electric vehicles and energy storage systems [3] - The global electrolyte market is expected to grow to 2.92 million tons by 2026, with a CAGR of 31%, driven by the demand for power and energy storage batteries [3] Company Strategy - Tianci Materials has a strong focus on R&D, with 472 authorized patents as of the end of 2023, including 280 invention patents [19] - The company has a highly concentrated equity structure, with the controlling shareholder holding 36.31% of the shares, ensuring stable operations [21] - The company's management team is highly experienced, with many members having over 14 years of experience in the industry, contributing to the company's long-term growth [22] Market Position - Tianci Materials is the global leader in the electrolyte market, with a 36.4% market share in China and a 31.2% global market share [4] - The company has a strong customer base, including major players like CATL, LG Energy Solution, and Tesla, ensuring stable orders and sales [41] - The company's electrolyte capacity expansion is slowing, which is expected to improve capacity utilization and further consolidate its market position [42]