海洋食品预测报告-2050年海洋的未来（英文版）

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the seafood industry. Core Insights - The seafood industry is projected to see a 20% increase in overall marine seafood production by 2050, with marine aquaculture expected to double and finfish production to triple during this period. Capture fisheries output is anticipated to remain stagnant [9][56]. - There is a growing demand for seafood, particularly in regions like South East Asia and Greater China, which will account for significant portions of the global seafood market. However, no large-scale dietary shifts away from terrestrial meat are expected [16][56]. - The report emphasizes the importance of sustainable practices in marine aquaculture to meet future growth demands, including the need for innovative feed solutions [11][56]. Summary by Sections Global Seafood Market - The global seafood market was valued at over USD 350 billion in 2020, with trade in fish and aquatic resources estimated at USD 113 billion [32]. - Marine aquaculture is expected to play a crucial role in meeting the food demands of a growing global population, projected to exceed nine billion by 2050 [29][30]. Feed Supply Chains - The report forecasts a significant shift in aquaculture feed supplies, with the share of novel ingredients rising to 30% by 2050, while the reliance on fish meal and fish oil will decrease from 18% to 9% [20][11]. - The health and welfare of farmed species are highlighted as critical factors for the future of aquaculture, necessitating a focus on sustainability and technological innovation [11][20]. Regional Seafood Outlook - Greater China is projected to be the largest market for marine seafood, accounting for about 24% (37 million tonnes) of global marine seafood harvested by 2050 [56]. - Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to become the largest seafood importer due to declining regional captures and increasing food demand [19][56]. Conclusions - The seafood industry faces a supply-demand gap for wild-caught seafood that marine aquaculture will not be able to close by 2050, leading to a projected 50% increase in seafood trade [10][56]. - The report underscores the urgency for global measures to address sustainability challenges and ensure food security and livelihoods within the seafood value chain [10][11].