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2024年中国半导体设备行业总览:前道设备国产替代正当时(摘要版)
头豹研究院·2024-07-19 12:00

Industry Overview - The global semiconductor market was 5201billionin2023,a9.45201 billion in 2023, a 9.4% YoY decline due to weak downstream demand and high inventory levels [6][7] - The semiconductor market is expected to recover in 2024, driven by strong AI chip demand, with projected market size of 5884 billion, a 13.1% YoY increase [7] - The global semiconductor equipment market declined 18.6% YoY to 87.4billionin2023,withwafermanufacturingequipmentaccountingforover8087.4 billion in 2023, with wafer manufacturing equipment accounting for over 80% of investments [9][10] - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to grow 4.0% YoY to 105.3 billion in 2024 [10] Semiconductor Equipment Landscape - Semiconductor equipment can be divided into manufacturing equipment (wafer production and process equipment) and packaging/testing equipment [12] - The IC manufacturing process involves complex steps including wafer fabrication, oxidation, photolithography, etc., each requiring specialized equipment [13] - Key semiconductor equipment includes etching, thin film deposition, lithography, ion implantation, CMP, and cleaning equipment [12][13] Localization of Semiconductor Equipment in China - Chinese semiconductor equipment manufacturers have achieved 35% localization rate, expected to reach 50% by 2025 [4][16] - Localization rates vary by equipment type: over 80% for stripping, 50-60% for cleaning, 55-65% for etching, but less than 10% for lithography and ion implantation [16] - US-Japan-Netherlands export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment have accelerated China's localization efforts [4][17] - China's semiconductor equipment imports reached 34.72billionin2022,withatradedeficitof34.72 billion in 2022, with a trade deficit of 30.6 billion [17] Key Semiconductor Equipment Segments Thin Film Deposition Equipment - Global market size reached 26billionin2023,dominatedbyoverseasplayerslikeAMAT,Lam,andTEL[21]Advancedprocessnodesdrivedemand,with3nmFinFETrequiringover100depositionstepscomparedto40for90nmCMOS[20]ChineseplayerslikePiotech,Naura,andAMECaremakingprogressinCVD,PVD,andALDequipment[21]EtchingEquipmentDryetchingaccountsforover9026 billion in 2023, dominated by overseas players like AMAT, Lam, and TEL [21] - Advanced process nodes drive demand, with 3nm FinFET requiring over 100 deposition steps compared to 40 for 90nm CMOS [20] - Chinese players like Piotech, Naura, and AMEC are making progress in CVD, PVD, and ALD equipment [21] Etching Equipment - Dry etching accounts for over 90% of the market, with CCP and ICP being the main technologies [22] - Advanced nodes require more etching steps, with 7nm chips needing 140 steps compared to 40 for 28nm [23] - Global market is highly concentrated, with Lam, TEL, and AMAT holding over 90% share [24] - Chinese players like AMEC and Naura have achieved breakthroughs in 14nm and below [24] Lithography Equipment - ASML dominates the global market with 95% share in high-end lithography equipment [27] - China heavily relies on imports, with 8.75 billion worth of lithography equipment imported in 2023, 82.6% from Netherlands [26] - SMEE has achieved 90nm lithography equipment and is accelerating DUV immersion technology development [27] Other Key Equipment - Cleaning equipment market is dominated by SCREEN, TEL, Lam, and SEMES with over 90% share [33] - CMP equipment market is controlled by AMAT and Ebara with 95% share [32] - Thermal processing equipment market is led by AMAT with nearly 70% share [31] - Chinese players are making progress in various equipment segments but still face significant gaps in advanced technologies [16][24][27]