Changgao NEET(002452) 东方财富·2024-08-05 10:23Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" with a target price of 9.8 CNY per share [5][92]. Core Views - The company is a leading supplier of high-voltage switches in China, benefiting from the ongoing upgrades in the power grid and the acceleration of ultra-high voltage (UHV) construction. The company achieved a revenue of 1.4938 billion CNY in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 22.12%, and a net profit of 173.08 million CNY, a significant increase of 198.15% [1][27]. - The company is expanding its product matrix, including the development of new products such as GIL (Gas Insulated Line), which has a broad potential demand due to policies promoting the underground transformation of overhead lines [2][85]. Summary by Sections 1. High Voltage Switch Supplier with Steady Growth - The company is one of the largest suppliers of high-voltage isolation switches in China, with a leading market share in the State Grid. Its product range includes isolation switches, combination electrical devices, and switch cabinets, covering all aspects of power generation, transmission, and distribution [19][66]. - The company’s revenue from isolation switches has been stable, while combination electrical devices and complete electrical devices have seen rapid growth, indicating a diversified revenue stream [29][63]. 2. Acceleration of Power Grid Transformation and UHV Construction - The investment in the power grid is expected to increase significantly, with a projected total investment of over 600 billion CNY in 2024, driven by the integration of renewable energy sources [1][50]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the acceleration of UHV construction, with significant projects planned and ongoing, including the construction of large-scale wind and solar bases [54][61]. 3. Expansion of High Voltage Switches and Distribution Network Products - The company’s high-voltage switch products, including isolation switches and combination electrical devices, are expected to see increased market share due to ongoing projects and successful bids in recent tenders [2][66]. - The company is also expanding its distribution network products, which include switch cabinets and transformers, to capture more market opportunities [75][77]. 4. Risk Mitigation and Value Recovery - The company has fully accounted for goodwill impairment related to its acquisition of Huawang Electric Power, reducing future risks associated with this asset [86][87]. - The company’s financial forecasts indicate a steady recovery in profitability, with expected net profits of 303.4 million CNY, 385.02 million CNY, and 446.51 million CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [5][92]. 5. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report maintains profit forecasts for the company, projecting revenues of 1.82978 billion CNY, 2.3948 billion CNY, and 2.75486 billion CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6][92]. - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of 0.49 CNY, 0.62 CNY, and 0.72 CNY for the same years, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 12, and 10 [5][92].