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Fiverr International Ltd(FVRR.US)July Web Traffic Data Remains Soft
FVRRFiverr(FVRR) UBS·2024-08-15 03:49

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Fiverr International Ltd is Neutral with a 12-month price target of 27.00[5][21].CoreInsightsMonthlyuniquevisitorstoFiverr.comdecreasedby1727.00 [5][21]. Core Insights - Monthly unique visitors to Fiverr.com decreased by 17% year-over-year in July, worsening from a 15% decline in June, indicating a trend of declining web traffic [2][3]. - The guidance for Q3 revenue suggests a continued slowdown, with a projected GMV growth of -4% year-over-year, slightly worse than the -3% in Q2 [3][4]. - The price target of 27 is based on a 9X NTM EV/EBITDA multiple applied to an adjusted EBITDA estimate of 89millionforthetwelvemonthsendingJune2026[4][11].SummarybySectionsWebTrafficDataJulysawa1789 million for the twelve months ending June 2026 [4][11]. Summary by Sections Web Traffic Data - July saw a 17% year-over-year decline in unique visitors to Fiverr.com, compared to a 15% decline in June and a 10% decline in May [3]. - The management's Q3 revenue guidance reflects expectations of continued slower trends, with consensus modeling a GMV decline of -4% year-over-year [3]. Valuation - The price target of 27 is derived from a 9X NTM EV/EBITDA multiple, which is below Fiverr's one-year forward multiple of 11X due to anticipated GMV volatility [4][11]. - The forecasted revenue for Fiverr is expected to grow from 361millionin2023to361 million in 2023 to 385 million in 2024, with net earnings projected to increase from 80millionto80 million to 98 million in the same period [6]. Company Overview - Fiverr is a leading freelancing platform that served 4.1 million active buyers in 2023, generating a GMV of 1.1billionwithanaveragespendof1.1 billion with an average spend of 278 per buyer [10].