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上能电气:动态点评:海外市场高增,大型光储龙头受益
SinengSineng(SZ:300827)2024-08-22 10:03

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of its stock [3]. Core Views - The company ranks fourth globally in photovoltaic inverter shipments and has been in the top ten for eleven consecutive years. It is a leading player in the domestic energy storage market, consistently ranking first in shipments of large-scale energy storage converters [2][5]. - The company is actively expanding its market presence in high-demand regions such as India, Saudi Arabia, and the United States, leveraging its technological and market strengths to drive growth [2][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established a sales company in the Middle East and built a sales service network, securing significant orders, including a partnership with Larsen & Toubro to supply 1,016 MW of inverter equipment for a solar power plant in Saudi Arabia [1]. Market Demand - The Indian market is experiencing rapid growth due to the ALMM listing system, leading to a surge in installations. In Q1 2024, India added approximately 7.5 GW of ground-mounted solar power, a fivefold increase from the previous quarter [9]. - Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 is driving renewable energy development, with plans for 24 GWh of energy storage projects from 2024 to 2025. The company is well-positioned to benefit from these initiatives [10]. - In the U.S., decreasing solar storage costs and rising PPA prices are contributing to a steady increase in installations, with the company securing multiple large-scale project orders in the North American market [10]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 8 billion, 9.67 billion, and 11.66 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 520 million, 709 million, and 930 million yuan for the same years, with corresponding EPS of 1.45, 1.98, and 2.60 yuan per share [15][17].