CGN POWER(003816) 中国银河·2024-08-23 07:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) [3][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2024 was stable, with revenue of 39.377 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.26%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.109 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [1]. - The company has shown a significant reduction in operating expenses and a continuous decline in the debt-to-asset ratio, which reached 59.82%, the first time below 60% since 2017 [1][2]. - Despite a slight decrease in electricity generation and prices, the net profit per kilowatt-hour remained stable due to effective cost control [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 38.56%, down 4.15 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 27.55%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The operating cash flow for H1 2024 was 12.789 billion yuan, a decrease of 18% year-on-year, primarily due to the repayment of maturing notes [1]. Electricity Generation and Pricing - The total electricity generation for H1 2024 was 113.378 billion kWh, a slight increase of 0.08% year-on-year, with a notable increase in output from the Taishan Nuclear Power Station [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price decreased by 1.60% year-on-year, leading to a 1.78% decline in power generation revenue to 30.374 billion yuan [1][2]. Growth Potential - The company has a robust project pipeline, managing 28 operational units with a total installed capacity of 31.756 million kW and 10 units under construction with a capacity of 12.058 million kW [2]. - Recent approvals for new nuclear projects are expected to enhance long-term growth prospects, with a total of 19.406 million kW in approved and under-construction capacity, representing 61% of the operational capacity [2]. Profit Forecast - The report forecasts net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 11.332 billion yuan, 12.370 billion yuan, and 13.407 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.79x, 19.96x, and 18.42x [6][7].