Mtalco(601677) 国开证券·2024-08-26 12:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2][4]. Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 21.26% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2024, reaching 15.314 billion yuan, and a 33.28% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 1.070 billion yuan [2]. - The company benefits from a favorable pricing model linked to aluminum prices, which has positively impacted revenue during periods of price increases [2]. - The growth in shipment volume, improved product mix, and increased foreign trade have contributed to the company's strong performance [2]. - The company is expanding its recycled aluminum production capacity, which is expected to enhance profit margins further [2]. - Research and development investments are significant, with 809 million yuan allocated in the first half of 2024, supporting high-margin segments like rail transportation [2]. Financial Summary - For 2024-2026, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 34.806 billion yuan, 37.590 billion yuan, and 41.350 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.767 billion yuan, 1.984 billion yuan, and 2.248 billion yuan [3]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 7.98, 7.08, and 6.26, respectively, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [3]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to improve gradually, reflecting operational efficiency and market conditions [5].