FinVolution(FINV) 交银国际证券·2024-08-28 03:38Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 5.70 [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's earnings remain stable, with a projected net profit growth of 2.3% year-on-year for 2024. The take rate is expected to improve in the second half of the year [2][3]. - The company has maintained its full-year guidance, anticipating an acceleration in loan facilitation growth in the second half of the year, with a target growth rate of 5-10% for mainland China and 20-40% for international markets [1][2]. - The take rate for mainland China business is currently at 3.1%, showing a slight increase, primarily due to a decrease in funding costs. The average loan pricing remains stable at 22.2% [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q2 2024, the company reported a net profit of 550 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.4%. Net revenue grew by 3.0% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company expects to achieve a net income of 13,019 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [3][9]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 2,394 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [2][3]. Loan Facilitation and Market Insights - Loan facilitation in Q2 2024 grew by 3.0% year-on-year, with mainland China and international markets growing by 2.0% and 27.8%, respectively [1][5]. - The company has seen improvements in risk indicators, with a 90-day delinquency rate of 2.65%, which is a slight increase but reflects earlier improvements in risk metrics [1][5]. Valuation Metrics - The company is projected to have a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.5 in 2024, decreasing to 3.7 by 2026, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [3][9]. - The projected dividend yield for 2024 is 4.4%, increasing to 5.3% by 2026, which enhances shareholder returns [3][9].