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传媒行业2024年中报点评:业绩整体承压,关注内容供给周期
Guolian Securities·2024-09-01 08:03

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the media industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [6][10]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that after the mid-year report, the fundamentals of various sub-sectors in the media industry are gradually bottoming out. It emphasizes the importance of focusing on the content supply cycle [3][6]. - The report recommends the gaming sector, which is at historical low valuations, has improving product cycles, and increasing attention. It also suggests high-dividend stocks in the marketing and publishing sectors, while continuing to monitor the supply and fundamental improvements in the film and television sector after the third quarter [3][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Overall Industry Performance - In the first half of 2024, A-share media companies achieved operating revenue of 265.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33% to 16 billion yuan [6][7]. Gaming Sector - The gaming sector shows an upward trend in industry prosperity, with total revenue of 147.27 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.08%. The top companies in the gaming sector have achieved synchronized growth in revenue and profit [6][7]. - Key recommended companies include JiBit, Kaiying Network, and Giant Network, with a focus on companies benefiting from stable core products and new game launches [3][6]. Film and Television Sector - The film market was subdued in the first half of 2024, with total box office revenue of 23.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease. The report highlights the need to pay attention to the scheduling of major content releases [6][7]. - Companies like Mango Super Media and Light Media are noted for their resilience and growth driven by quality content supply [3][6]. Marketing Sector - The advertising market is showing signs of recovery, with a year-on-year growth of 2.7%. The report notes that outdoor advertising channels have shown resilience, while other channels have seen a decline in spending [6][7]. - The marketing sector's leading company, Focus Media, achieved revenue and net profit growth of 8% and 12%, respectively [6][7]. Publishing Sector - The publishing sector remains stable with a total revenue of 69.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21% [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of cash reserves and dividend willingness among strong publishing companies [3][6].