Guolian Securities·2024-09-03 10:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's profitability has improved, and it has declared its first interim dividend [6] - The company reported a revenue of 357.4 billion yuan for H1 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3% [10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.4 billion yuan, down 1% year-on-year [10] - The company has a robust order backlog of 353.62 billion yuan, which is ten times its revenue for the same period [10] - The company is a leading player in China's infrastructure sector and is expected to benefit from the "Belt and Road" initiative [10] Financial Performance - For H1 2024, the company's gross margin improved to 11.7%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The gross margins for construction, design, and dredging businesses were 10.6%, 18.7%, and 11.4%, respectively, showing improvements [10] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.14 yuan per share, accounting for 20% of its total profit for the period [10] - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 830 billion, 914 billion, and 1,009.7 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 9%, 10%, and 10% [10] Business Segments - The company’s dredging business showed steady growth, while construction and design segments faced pressure due to a slowdown in domestic infrastructure investment [10] - The overseas revenue grew by 24% year-on-year, reaching 69.6 billion yuan in H1 2024 [10] - The company has 32 operational projects in its concession business, generating 4.1 billion yuan in revenue but incurring a net loss of 1.1 billion yuan [10] Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a P/E ratio of 9 times for 2024 [10] - The projected EPS for 2024-2026 is 1.60, 1.76, and 1.95 yuan, respectively, with a CAGR of 10% over three years [10] - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 74.8%, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [10]