海外大选观察系列：欧洲议会光谱右移，法国悬浮议会未来如何

Group 1: Election Trends - The overall voter turnout for the 2024 European Parliament elections increased from 50.66% in 2019 to 51.05% in 2024, with France's turnout rising from 50.12% to 51.49%[12][1] - The rise in young voter participation has been a key factor in the ascendance of right-wing parties in France[12][1] - The European People's Party (EPP) remains the largest party group with 188 seats, while the Socialists and Democrats (S&D) hold 136 seats, a decrease of 12 seats from the previous election[16][1] Group 2: Political Landscape in France - Macron's decision to dissolve the National Assembly aims to regain an absolute majority for his party, following a significant decline in support[20][1] - The first round of the National Assembly elections saw the far-right National Rally (RN) leading with 33% of the votes, while the left-wing alliance secured 28%[34][1] - The second round resulted in no party achieving a majority, leading to a "hung parliament" scenario, increasing political uncertainty in France[38][1] Group 3: Implications for Governance - The "hung parliament" situation complicates legislative processes, requiring more negotiation and compromise among parties[38][1] - The rise of the far-right has been fueled by public concerns over immigration, inflation, and economic issues, with the RN's support rising to 33% by mid-2024[48][1] - The political division and high voter turnout reflect deep societal concerns, particularly regarding the influence of the far-right on future governance[38][1]