伊戈尔：变压器出海加速助推新成长

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Yiguang (002922) for the first time, with a target price of 18.58 RMB [5] Core Views - Global transformer demand is surging due to aging grid upgrades in Europe and the US, energy transition in emerging markets like the Middle East, and AI-driven power demand [3] - Yiguang is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend through its deep partnerships with industry leaders like Sungrow, Huawei, and Ginlong Technologies [3][7] - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, with new production bases in Malaysia, Thailand, and Mexico expected to boost revenue and profitability [7][16] Company Overview - Yiguang has built a diversified product portfolio around its "2+X" strategy, focusing on energy and lighting products while exploring new applications like EV power supplies and energy storage [18][19] - Energy products, especially transformers, have become the company's core business, accounting for 72.4% of total revenue in 2023 [19][20] - The company has established a strong presence in overseas markets, particularly in the US, Japan, and Europe, through its partnerships with leading inverter manufacturers [20][21] Industry Growth - The US transformer market is highly undersupplied, with domestic production meeting only about 20% of demand in 2023 [27][28] - Europe is planning significant grid investments, with a 584 billion euro plan to upgrade cross-border transmission networks [36] - Emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are also driving transformer demand, with China's exports to these regions growing rapidly [38][39] Competitive Advantages - Yiguang has established deep relationships with top-tier customers, with its top 5 clients accounting for 56% of sales in 2023 [59][61] - The company is rapidly expanding its global manufacturing and sales network, with new production bases in Malaysia, Thailand, and Mexico [64][65] - Yiguang is continuously developing new products to meet customer needs, such as natural ester oil transformers and energy storage systems [68][69] Financial Projections - Revenue is expected to grow from 4.81 billion RMB in 2024 to 7.26 billion RMB in 2026, representing a 3-year CAGR of 32.5% [77][78] - Net profit is forecast to increase from 403 million RMB in 2024 to 659 million RMB in 2026, with a 3-year CAGR of 46.5% [77][78] - The energy products segment is projected to maintain strong growth, with revenue increasing from 3.63 billion RMB in 2024 to 5.93 billion RMB in 2026 [70][77]