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8月贸易数据点评:出口具韧性,贸易顺差再度扩张
Tai Ping Yang·2024-09-12 05:30

Group 1: Export Performance - In August, China's exports (in USD) increased by 8.7% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations of 6.6% and the previous month's growth of 7.0%[3] - The trade surplus for August reached $91.02 billion, exceeding the expected $81.1 billion and the previous month's $84.65 billion[3] - Exports to the EU and the US showed positive growth, with the US becoming the largest export market due to improved consumer confidence[8] Group 2: Import Trends - August imports grew by only 0.5% year-on-year, significantly below the market expectation of 2.5% and down 6.7 percentage points from the previous month[15] - The decline in imports is attributed to high base effects, weak domestic demand, and adjustments in international commodity prices[15] - Key categories such as iron ore and crude oil saw significant negative growth in import volumes, reflecting weak domestic demand[17] Group 3: Economic Implications - The widening trade surplus indicates a disparity between resilient external demand and ongoing internal demand weakness[19] - The report emphasizes the need for domestic demand expansion to stabilize economic growth amid external uncertainties and trade protectionism[19] - Continued monitoring of monetary and fiscal policies is crucial to bolster domestic demand and mitigate potential economic downturns[19]