永兴材料：2024年中报点评：碳酸锂成本压缩，矿山证载规模扩大

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [2][5] Core Views - Revenue and gross margin declined, putting pressure on profits YoY [2] - H1 2024 revenue: 4.492 billion yuan, down 32.5% YoY - H1 2024 net profit: 768 million yuan, down 59.6% YoY - H1 2024 gross margin: 19.0%, net margin: 13.5% - Q2 2024 revenue: 2.19 billion yuan, down 34.0% YoY and 4.7% QoQ - Q2 2024 net profit: 300 million yuan, down 69.1% YoY and 35.9% QoQ - Lithium carbonate business achieved cost reduction and efficiency improvement [2] - Lithium carbonate operating cost per ton: 50,000 yuan, down over 10% YoY - Subsidiary Huaqiao Mining increased production scale from 3 million tons/year to 9 million tons/year - Yongcheng Lithium's 3 million tons/year lithium ore beneficiation project nearing completion - Special steel business improved profit per ton through production, supply, and sales optimization [2] - Focused on increasing product gross margin per ton - Successful R&D projects in nuclear power, aerospace, new energy vehicles, and industrial robotics Financial Forecasts - Revenue and profit forecasts adjusted downward [5] - 2024E revenue: 8.68 billion yuan - 2025E revenue: 9.73 billion yuan - 2026E revenue: 11.44 billion yuan - 2024E net profit: 1.172 billion yuan - 2025E net profit: 1.545 billion yuan - 2026E net profit: 2.249 billion yuan - Valuation metrics [5][6] - 2024E P/E: 15.9x - 2025E P/E: 12.1x - 2026E P/E: 8.3x - 2024E P/B: 1.35x - 2025E P/B: 1.24x - 2026E P/B: 1.11x Company Fundamentals - Market performance [4] - Market cap: 18.647 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 58.60/29.92 yuan - 52-week P/E range: 8.79/4.03x - 52-week P/B range: 2.37/1.27x - 52-week return: -23.88% - 52-week turnover rate: 553.28% - Profitability [8] - 2024E gross margin: 18.05% - 2025E gross margin: 21.14% - 2026E gross margin: 26.18% - 2024E net margin: 13.85% - 2025E net margin: 16.30% - 2026E net margin: 20.23%