929楼市政策点评:一线城市限购再放松、存量房贷利率下降落地,止跌回稳强目标下政策加速落地
2024-09-30 09:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - Recent policy adjustments in major cities like Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou aim to relax purchase restrictions and lower mortgage rates, signaling a strong governmental commitment to stabilize the real estate market [2]. - The People's Bank of China has implemented measures to reduce existing mortgage rates, with an expected average decrease of around 0.5 percentage points, which is anticipated to alleviate financial burdens on homeowners [2]. - The shift in policy focus from supply-side to demand-side measures is evident, with a clear goal of stabilizing housing prices and improving residents' balance sheets [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - Shanghai has reduced the social insurance requirement for non-local residents to one year for purchasing homes outside the outer ring, while also lowering down payment ratios for first and second homes [5]. - Shenzhen has allowed local families to purchase multiple properties and reduced down payment requirements, while also canceling sales restrictions [7]. - Guangzhou has completely lifted all purchase restrictions for residents, indicating a significant policy shift [8]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the recent policy changes are just the beginning, with expectations for further relaxation of restrictions in the future to support market recovery [2]. - The emphasis on "stabilizing and recovering" the real estate market reflects the government's priority to maintain housing prices and support consumer confidence [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong product capabilities such as China Vanke, China Overseas Land & Investment, and others, as well as those with potential for valuation recovery [2]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include: - Product-driven firms: Binjiang Group, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others [2]. - Valuation recovery firms: Gemdale Corporation, New Town Development, and others [2]. - Second-hand housing intermediaries: I Love My Home, Beike [2]. - Property management firms: China Resources Mixc, China Merchants Jinling, and others [2].