2024年国庆假期出行预测报告2024

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report predicts significant traffic congestion during the 2024 National Day holiday, particularly on October 1st for outbound travel and October 5th and 6th for return travel, due to increased travel demand and free highway access [4][5] - Major congested routes have been identified, with specific highways and segments expected to experience severe delays, particularly in cities like Suzhou and Shanghai [6][8] - Popular self-driving travel destinations during the holiday include major cities and scenic spots, indicating a strong trend in domestic tourism [11][13][18] Summary by Sections 1. National Highway Congestion Forecast - Peak congestion times are expected on October 1st from 9 AM to 12 PM for outbound travel and on October 5th and 6th from 3 PM to 7 PM for return travel [4] - Specific congested highway segments have been identified, such as G1522 in Suzhou with an average speed of 6 km/h on October 1st [6][7] 2. Popular Self-Driving Destinations - The top 10 popular self-driving cities during the holiday include Beijing, Chengdu, and Shanghai, reflecting a trend towards domestic travel [11][12] - The top scenic spots include West Lake in Hangzhou and the ancient town of Fenghuang, indicating high tourist interest in cultural and natural attractions [13][14] - Popular ancient towns include Fenghuang and Pingyao, showcasing a preference for historical sites among travelers [18][19]