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摩根士丹利:中国股票策略_中国主动多头管理人的持仓_香港
2024-10-11 14:13

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for China equity, with significant inflows from foreign funds, particularly passive funds, suggesting a favorable investment environment [1]. Core Insights - China equity saw a substantial inflow of US6.3billionfromforeigndomiciledfundsbetweenSeptember25andOctober2,2024,primarilydrivenbypassivefunds[1]Cumulativeforeignpassiveflowshavesurpassedpeaklevelsin2024,returningtolevelsseeninOctober2023,whileactivefundflowsremainathistoricallowssincelate2022[1]DomesticChinapassiveproductsreceivedinflowsofUS6.3 billion from foreign domiciled funds between September 25 and October 2, 2024, primarily driven by passive funds [1] - Cumulative foreign passive flows have surpassed peak levels in 2024, returning to levels seen in October 2023, while active fund flows remain at historical lows since late 2022 [1] - Domestic China passive products received inflows of US18 billion in September, mainly targeting China A-shares [1] Fund Flow Analysis - Foreign domiciled funds experienced strong inflows of US6.3billion,withpassivefundscontributingUS6.3 billion, with passive funds contributing US6 billion and active funds only US0.3billionduringthespecifiedperiod[1]InSeptember,foreignequityinflowsfrompassivefundstotaledUS0.3 billion during the specified period [1] - In September, foreign equity inflows from passive funds totaled US3.8 billion, while active funds recorded outflows of US1.1billion[1]GlobalfundsareunderweightinChinaby1.11.1 billion [1] - Global funds are underweight in China by 1.1%, with AxJ funds underweight by 1.7% and EM funds by 2.3% [1] Sector and Company Positioning - Active fund managers increased their positions in Media & Entertainment and Real Estate sectors, while reducing exposure in banks, utilities, and energy sectors [1] - Notable companies added to portfolios include Tencent, Meituan, PDD, and CCB, while Trip.com and NetEase saw reductions in their positions [1] Short Interest Trends - A total of US2.0 billion in short interest was added in China offshore/HK equities, with significant increases in Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Real Estate sectors [1]