Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 revenue increased by 17.8% YoY to RMB 3.25 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders surging 169.7% YoY to RMB 350 million [4] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 reached RMB 570 million, up 36% QoQ, meeting expectations [4] - The average Shanghai gold price in Q3 2024 rose to RMB 569/g, up RMB 17/g from Q2 2024 and RMB 109/g YoY [4] - The company's Haiyu gold mine project is progressing smoothly, with key underground connections completed, and is expected to commence production in mid-2025 [4] - The company established a joint venture with Zijin Mining to explore gold resource acquisitions and development opportunities [4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from RMB 8.424 billion in 2023 to RMB 15.485 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of 22.5% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from RMB 686 million in 2023 to RMB 2.775 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of 59.2% [5] - Gross margin is forecasted to improve from 40.0% in 2023 to 50.2% in 2026 [5] - ROE is expected to rise from 3.6% in 2023 to 11.0% in 2026 [5] Operational Highlights - The company's Haiyu gold mine is expected to reach full production capacity of 16 tons/year by end-2027 [4] - The company's self-produced gold output is projected to nearly triple from 2023 to 2028 [4] - The company reduced its interest-bearing debt by RMB 840 million in Q3 2024 [4] Valuation Metrics - The company's PE ratio is expected to decline from 56.8x in 2023 to 14.6x in 2026 [8] - The PB ratio is forecasted to decrease from 2.07x in 2023 to 1.61x in 2026 [8] - EPS is projected to grow from RMB 0.21 in 2023 to RMB 0.82 in 2026 [8]
招金矿业：利润符合预期，海域即将投产