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摩根士丹利:超微半导体公司_ AMD 推进 AI 活动_服务器领导力、AI 机遇
2024-10-16 16:27

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is Equal-weight [8][18][41] Core Insights - AMD has launched the new Zen 5 server architecture, which is expected to enhance its leadership position in the server market, particularly with the MI350 product [2][10] - The MI300 has performed well in its first year, contributing to a projected 4.5billioninAIprocessorrevenue,buttheoverallmarketforAIisanticipatedtoexceed4.5 billion in AI processor revenue, but the overall market for AI is anticipated to exceed 100 billion [6][12] - AMD's server opportunity is viewed positively, with expectations for share gains in 2025, although the pace of these gains will depend on the broader server refresh cycle [10][12] Summary by Sections Product Developments - AMD introduced the MI325X and previewed the MI350X, with the latter expected to support higher memory content and improved performance metrics [10][12] - The MI350X is projected to offer a significant uplift in inference performance, with AMD targeting a total addressable market (TAM) growth to 500billionby2028[12][13]MarketPositionAMDisseenasastrongcompetitorintheservermarket,withthepotentialforsharegainsagainstIntel,particularlyastheservermarketrecoversfrompreviouslows[10][12]Thecompanyhasestablishedpartnershipswithmajorcloudproviders,whichisexpectedtobolsteritsmarketpresence[10][12]FinancialProjectionsThepricetargetforAMDissetat500 billion by 2028 [12][13] Market Position - AMD is seen as a strong competitor in the server market, with the potential for share gains against Intel, particularly as the server market recovers from previous lows [10][12] - The company has established partnerships with major cloud providers, which is expected to bolster its market presence [10][12] Financial Projections - The price target for AMD is set at 178, reflecting a P/E ratio of approximately 41x based on FY2025 estimates [15][20] - Revenue projections indicate growth from 22.68billionin2023to22.68 billion in 2023 to 40.83 billion by 2026, with non-GAAP EPS expected to rise from 2.66to2.66 to 6.59 over the same period [21][22]