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Global Farmer Insights 2024
麦肯锡·2024-10-17 00:08

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the agriculture industry Core Insights - Farmers are increasingly prioritizing productivity, focusing on operations-oriented solutions to enhance efficiency and sustainability [2][3] - The current macroeconomic environment has led farmers to emphasize improving productivity through agtech, biological products, and sustainable practices [3][4] - A significant portion of farmers globally are optimistic about future profit opportunities, with improved yields, higher crop prices, and lower input costs identified as key areas for potential profit growth [13][17] Summary by Sections Survey Overview - McKinsey conducted a survey of approximately 4,400 farmers across nine countries to understand their views on profitability, technology adoption, and sustainable practices [4][5] - The survey covered five main areas: profit risks and opportunities, future profit outlook, sustainable practices adoption, technology adoption, and purchasing channels [4] Profit Risks and Opportunities - Increased input prices (48%) and extreme weather events (42%) are the top two risks to profitability, with volatile commodity prices being a new concern for 30% of farmers [7][12] - Farmers are looking to improve yields, higher crop prices, and lower input prices as the top three opportunities for profit in the next two years [13][17] Regional Economic Outlook - Farmers in North America and Europe are more pessimistic about future profits, with 64% and 55% expecting lower profits, respectively [17][18] - In contrast, farmers in India and Latin America are more optimistic, with 58% and 76% expecting higher profits in the next two years [17][18] Adoption of Sustainable Practices - Adoption of sustainable practices is driven by the desire for increased yield and additional revenue streams, with crop rotations (68%) and reduced or no tillage (56%) being the most commonly adopted practices [21][24] - Farmers using biological products expect to maintain or increase spending on these products, indicating a resilient market for biologicals [33][34] Technology Adoption - There has been a slight increase in the adoption of technology, with North America leading and Latin America showing the fastest growth [36][40] - Digital agronomy and precision agriculture are the most widely adopted technologies, with significant regional variations in usage [40][51] Influences on Purchasing Decisions - Input distributors are viewed as the primary influence on farmers' purchasing decisions, with family and neighbors also playing a significant role [55][56] - Despite the rise of digital tools, farmers still prefer in-person interactions for purchasing, particularly for first-time transactions [61][62] Recommendations for Organizations - Organizations should focus on tailored solutions for farmers, helping them manage volatility and realize the financial benefits of sustainable practices [66][68] - Emphasizing ROI-centric solutions and deepening relationships with channel partners will be crucial for supporting farmers in navigating the complex agricultural landscape [70][71][72]