2024年中全球投资展望报告：转型的浪潮席卷而来

Group 1: Economic Transformation - A significant transformation wave is anticipated due to investments in AI, low-carbon transition, and global supply chain restructuring, comparable to an industrial revolution[16] - The estimated annual investment in energy systems for the low-carbon transition could reach $3.5 trillion over the next decade[18] - AI-related investments are projected to grow by 60% to 100% annually in the coming years[18] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to actively engage in economic transformation while flexibly adjusting their portfolios based on real-time conditions[16] - The focus should shift towards tangible industries, with substantial investment opportunities expected in infrastructure, energy systems, and technology[17] - A preference for high-quality fixed-income assets and stocks is recommended due to prolonged high-interest rates[27] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The disparity between winners and losers in the market is expected to widen, creating significant investment opportunities[17] - The report suggests a continued overweight in U.S. stocks and AI themes over the next 6 to 12 months, particularly favoring Japanese stocks[27] - The potential for a sudden shift in market dynamics necessitates readiness to adjust strategies accordingly[17] Group 4: Demographic Trends - Aging populations in developed markets are leading to a shrinking labor force, impacting economic growth and inflation[46] - Emerging markets with growing labor forces, such as India and Mexico, present higher investment return opportunities[46]