Workflow
新能源行业周报(第106期):重视特斯拉智能化、分布式光伏政策
Tai Ping Yang·2024-10-18 04:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electric equipment and new energy sector [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the acceleration of Tesla's smart technology and the marketization of distributed photovoltaic policies [1][3] - Tesla is expected to initiate a new upward cycle in electric vehicle intelligence, with significant developments in autonomous driving and robotics showcased at the recent We, Robot event [3][15] - The distributed photovoltaic policy is anticipated to accelerate market development, with new regulations set to enhance the management and integration of distributed solar power into the electricity market [5][16] Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Vehicles - Tesla's Robotaxi is designed without a steering wheel or pedals, enhancing passenger space and expected to reduce production costs to below $30,000, with operational costs projected at $0.2 per mile by 2026 [3][15] - The introduction of Robovan, a larger version of Robotaxi, can accommodate 20 passengers or transport goods [3][15] - Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities are planned for Texas and California in 2025, aiming for completely autonomous operation [3][15] - The Optimus robot demonstrated advanced interaction capabilities, indicating Tesla's shift towards AI and robotics beyond just electric vehicles [3][15] 2. Photovoltaic Industry - The report notes that the photovoltaic industry is experiencing price pressures, with silicon wafer prices slightly declining and battery cell production being reduced to manage inventory [5][16] - The National Energy Administration has issued a draft management regulation for distributed photovoltaic power, which includes restrictions on large commercial projects and aims to facilitate market transactions [5][16] - The report anticipates a quick arrival at the mid-term bottom for the photovoltaic industry, with a focus on the recovery of distributed power station demand [1][4] 3. Wind Power - The report highlights the approval of a 6GW offshore wind project in Guangdong, indicating progress in national offshore wind energy projects [7][18] - High-capacity direct current transmission is becoming a trend, with the report noting that the cost of transmitting 2GW of offshore wind energy is 25% lower than that of two 1GW projects [8][19] - The report suggests continued optimism for the submarine cable segment, with companies like Oriental Cable expected to benefit from the expanding market [8][19]