FYG,FUYAO GLASS(600660)2024-10-21 01:03Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Fuyao Glass Industry Group, with a target price of Rmb64.29, reflecting a 12% increase from the previous target price of Rmb57.54 [2][4][8]. Core Insights - Fuyao Glass reported better-than-expected earnings in Q3 2024, achieving revenue of Rmb99.74 billion, which is 0.36% above the forecast, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.9% [2][8]. - The gross profit margin reached 38.78%, exceeding expectations by 0.88 percentage points, marking a five-year high for the quarter [2][8]. - The company expects to benefit from industry improvements in 2025, particularly in the automotive glass segment, which saw a revenue increase of 20.41% year-on-year, significantly outperforming the global automotive industry's decline [2][8]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders was Rmb19.80 billion, surpassing expectations by 2.56%, with a year-on-year increase of 53.5% [2][8]. - The company forecasts EPS for 2024-2026 to be Rmb2.92, Rmb3.38, and Rmb3.96 respectively, reflecting an upward revision from previous estimates [2][8]. - The report highlights a strong trend in automotive glass upgrades and an acceleration in capital expenditures, with planned investments of Rmb81.23 billion in 2024 to expand production capacity [2][8]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the company's exceptional industrial competitiveness will strengthen its market position, driving continuous increases in product prices and volumes [2][8]. - The automotive glass revenue is expected to improve due to favorable consumer policies and a decline in raw material costs, alongside stable shipping expenses [2][8]. - Fuyao Glass plans to invest Rmb90 billion over the next two years to build new production lines for automotive safety glass and other related products [2][8].