CHINA TELECOM(601728) 国联证券·2024-10-24 06:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Telecom (601728) [2][4] Core Views - China Telecom achieved revenue of 3919.68 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.85%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 292.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.11% [2][6] - The company's mobile business value continues to improve, with 5G package penetration exceeding 80% [2][6] - The company is accelerating FTTR upgrades and seizing digital transformation opportunities, with industrial digital business revenue reaching 1055.49 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [2][6] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 5336.64/5608.01/5918.86 billion yuan in 2024-2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.08%/5.09%/5.54%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 324.77/345.33/365.68 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.67%/6.33%/5.89% [6] Financial Data and Valuation - The current stock price is 6.59 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 133,465.13 million yuan [4] - The company's total share capital is 91,507 million shares, with a circulating share capital of 34,130 million shares [4] - The company's net asset per share is 4.90 yuan, with an asset-liability ratio of 47.69% [4] - The company's EPS is expected to be 0.35/0.38/0.40 yuan in 2024-2026, with a P/E ratio of 18.6/17.5/16.5 [7] Business Performance - Mobile communication service revenue reached 1568.23 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, with mobile users reaching 423 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.15%, and 5G package users reaching 345 million, a year-on-year increase of 12.17% [6] - Fixed network and smart home service revenue reached 956.24 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.90%, with smart home revenue increasing by 17% year-on-year [6] Industry and Strategy - The company is deeply implementing the cloud reform and digital transformation strategy, focusing on the integration of standard products with cloud, AI, quantum, and satellite elements, and accelerating platform content filling and intelligent upgrades [6]