首席风险官展望：2024年10月（英）

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global outlook for 2024 is characterized as "risky," with chief risk officers expressing concerns about geopolitical and geoeconomic relations (96%) and political developments (71%) impacting growth and innovation opportunities [10][18] - There is a notable decline in concern regarding technological developments, with only 24% of chief risk officers viewing it as a widespread issue, down from 38% in 2023 [10][18] - Chief risk officers anticipate macroeconomic indicators (76%), cyber risk and criminal activity (71%), and regulatory changes (67%) to have severe impacts on organizations in the next six months [19][20] Summary by Sections 1. A Volatile Mid-Year Outlook: The Global Perspective - Chief risk officers expect widespread volatility across various indicators, with no indicators perceived as highly stable [15] - The majority anticipate high volatility in the Middle East and North Africa (84%), Europe (40%), and the US (40%) for the remainder of 2024 [10][18] 2. Top Impacts of External Risks to Organizations - Key external risks identified include elections and political regime change (43%), pricing and supply disruptions, and human capital challenges [20][21] - The report highlights a significant increase in concern regarding elections and political regime change, moving from the ninth to the fourth position in risk ranking [20] 3. Spotlight: Rethinking the Role of the Risk Function - The risk function is viewed as beneficial, with 95% of respondents agreeing it provides a competitive edge [10] - There is a focus on short-term innovation and growth strategies, with 81% of chief risk officers prioritizing immediate strategies over longer-term ones [12][27] - The report indicates that the risk function's involvement in strategic decision-making varies, suggesting a need for organizations to enhance the impact of risk management [13][30]