Investment Rating - Maintains an OUTPERFORM rating with a target price of US21.60∗∗[1]CoreViews−MPMaterialsisthelargestrareearthmaterialproducerintheWesternHemisphere,owningtheonlyrareearthminingandprocessingbaseinNorthAmerica,MountainPass,whichsuppliesapproximately∗∗1531.258 million in 24Q2, with a net loss of US34.055million∗∗andadjustedEBITDAof∗∗US27.06 million [1] - Rare earth oxide (REO) sales volume and realized price per ton decreased, leading to a decline in operating income and financial performance in 24Q2 [1] Financial Performance - In 24Q2, REO production was 9,084 tons, a 16% YoY decline, while REO sales were 5,839 tons, down 43% YoY [1] - The realized price of REO per ton was US4,183∗∗,a∗∗3348 per ton, down 22% from Q1 [1] Expansion and Future Plans - MP Materials is expanding its upstream, midstream, and downstream operations, including the Upstream 60K expansion plan, which is progressing steadily [1] - The company expects NdPr production to increase by 50% in Q3 compared to Q2, with improved unit costs as production scales up [1] - The downstream rare earth magnet production line is nearly ready, positioning the company to capitalize on future green technology industries such as electric vehicles and wind turbines [1] Profit Forecast - Revenue is projected to be US151million∗∗,∗∗US341 million, and US521million∗∗for2024,2025,and2026,respectively[1]−EPSisforecastedtobe∗∗−US0.29, US0.36∗∗,and∗∗US0.65 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [1] - The company is valued at 60x PE for 2025, with a target price of US$21.60 [1]