Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised from HKD 25 to HKD 32, indicating a potential upside of 16.6% [1][2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown robust earnings performance, with a significant year-on-year increase in net profit of 65.5% for the first three quarters, aligning with prior earnings forecasts [1]. - The new business value has increased by 37.9% year-on-year, with a new business value rate of 20.1%, up by 6.2 percentage points compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The individual insurance channel's quality continues to improve, with a 3.3% increase in premium scale, primarily driven by new business contributions from agents [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2022, the company reported total revenue of RMB 332,140 million, with a projected revenue of RMB 405,133 million for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.1% [3][9]. - The net profit for 2022 was RMB 37,381 million, with an expected increase to RMB 46,099 million in 2024, indicating a growth rate of 69.1% [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from RMB 3.89 in 2022 to RMB 4.79 in 2024, representing a significant increase [3][9]. Business Segment Insights - The property and casualty insurance segment saw a premium income growth of 7.7%, with a combined cost ratio of 98.7%, which is stable year-on-year but has increased by 1.6 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [2][5]. - Investment income has significantly increased, with total investment income rising to a rate of 4.7%, up by 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to higher stock investment returns [2][5]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 5.2 for 2024, indicating a favorable valuation compared to its historical performance [3][9]. - The price-to-embedded value (P/EV) is expected to be 0.4 in 2024, suggesting that the stock is undervalued relative to its embedded value [3][9].
中国太保：盈利表现稳健，新业务价值率进一步提升