
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to China Biologic Products (1177 HK) with a target price of HK3.51 [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2024, with revenue increasing by 14.3% year-on-year to RMB 5.47 billion, driven by the rapid growth of biosimilars and new products [1]. - Adjusted net profit surged by 58.0% to RMB 600 million, exceeding expectations [1]. - Management maintains a double-digit revenue growth guidance for the full year, with specific sales expectations for 2024 including RMB 2 billion from biosimilars and over RMB 500 million from Yilishu [1]. - The company is set to acquire control of Haorunbo (688656 CH), marking its entry into the immunodiagnostics sector, with a planned acquisition of up to 55.00% of the shares [2]. - The acquisition price is set at RMB 33.74 per share, representing a 5% premium over the last trading day before suspension [2]. Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - Q3 2024 revenue reached RMB 5.47 billion, a 14.3% increase year-on-year, attributed to the growth of biosimilars and new product launches [1]. - Adjusted net profit rose by 58.0% to RMB 600 million, surpassing expectations [1]. Future Growth Prospects - The company expects biosimilars to generate RMB 2 billion in sales in 2024, with specific products like Bevacizumab and Trastuzumab projected to contribute RMB 700-800 million and around RMB 500 million, respectively [1]. - New product launches in 2025 are anticipated to further enhance revenue, with the first-year sales of the biosimilar Pertuzumab expected to exceed RMB 800 million [1]. Acquisition Strategy - The acquisition of Haorunbo will provide China Biologic Products with control over a company focused on immunodiagnostics, enhancing its product portfolio in respiratory and autoimmune disease areas [2]. - Haorunbo reported revenues of RMB 394 million and a net profit of RMB 43.3 million in 2023, with commitments from original shareholders for future profit guarantees [2].