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巨星农牧:量增本降业绩兑现高增,关注产能增长与成本优化延续

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its performance relative to the market [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, with revenue reaching 3.955 billion yuan, up 31.59% year-on-year, and net profit of 259 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 175.70% [5]. - The growth in output and rising pig prices were the main drivers for the company's performance in Q3 2024, with a total of 1.7335 million pigs sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.62% [5][6]. - The company has seen a decrease in breeding costs due to improvements in technology and management, with the cost of live pigs dropping to approximately 7 yuan per jin [6][7]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with a reported biological asset value of 531 million yuan, an increase of 13.55% quarter-on-quarter, and a current capacity of over 180,000 breeding pigs [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.383 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 58% [7][9]. - The net profit forecast for 2024 is 511 million yuan, with an expected basic earnings per share of 1.00 yuan [7][9]. - The report anticipates continued growth in revenue and profit through 2026, with revenues projected at 12.372 billion yuan and net profits at 1.261 billion yuan [7][9].