CSI Solar(688472) 东方财富·2024-11-05 08:10Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [3][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the company's strong performance in large-scale energy storage orders and improving profitability in its component business, suggesting a robust growth trajectory in the solar and storage sectors [6][12]. - The company reported a revenue of 34.178 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 12.63%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.955 billion yuan, down 31.17% year-on-year [5][6]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 12.22 billion yuan, a decline of 6.10% year-on-year, but the net profit of 716 million yuan showed a 21.99% decrease year-on-year, marking a continuous growth trend over three consecutive quarters [5][6]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company shipped 22.9 GW of solar modules from January to September 2024, a slight increase compared to the same period last year, with Q3 shipments reaching 8.4 GW, a 2.4% increase quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. - The North American market accounted for over 30% of Q3 shipments, indicating a shift towards higher-priced market segments [5][6]. Large-Scale Energy Storage - The large-scale energy storage segment experienced rapid growth, with shipments reaching 4.4 GWh from January to September 2024, and Q3 shipments of 1.8 GWh exceeded guidance [5][6]. - Both shipment volume and unit net profit in the energy storage sector hit record highs for a single quarter, reflecting strong demand and operational efficiency [5][6]. Financial Projections - The report adjusts revenue forecasts for 2024-2026, estimating revenues of 49.3 billion yuan, 61.9 billion yuan, and 77.9 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 2.9 billion yuan, 4.8 billion yuan, and 5.7 billion yuan [6][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.78 yuan, 1.29 yuan, and 1.53 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 18, 11, and 9 [6][7].