Investment Rating - The report assigns a "增持" (Overweight) rating to 华宝新能 (301327) [5] Core Views - 华宝新能's Q3 2024 net profit surged by 888.90% YoY, indicating a significant turnaround in operations [1] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 2.133 billion yuan, a 35.02% YoY increase, with net profit attributable to the parent company at 159 million yuan, up 357.06% YoY [1] - Q3 2024 revenue was 990 million yuan, a 50.41% YoY increase, with net profit attributable to the parent company at 87 million yuan, up 888.90% YoY [1] - The company's profitability improved significantly due to lower raw material costs, optimized inventory structure, and product quality enhancements, with gross margin rising to 45.17% in the first three quarters, up 5.86 percentage points YoY [1] Market Performance - In the US market, revenue grew by 41.12% YoY in the first three quarters, driven by high outdoor activity penetration and consumer preference for high-capacity products [2] - In the Japanese market, revenue increased by 72.69% YoY, benefiting from frequent natural disasters and strong demand for portable energy storage products [2] - The company's global channel network expanded, with brand website revenue growing by 61.81% YoY, and products now available in over 50 countries and regions [2] Product Innovation - The company's Solar Generator product line saw a 130% YoY revenue increase in the first three quarters, with new flagship products featuring innovative CTB module designs [2] - 华宝新能 introduced a groundbreaking all-scenario home green power solution, including the world's first DIY small home green power system and XBC photovoltaic tile system [2] Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 3.094 billion yuan, 4.079 billion yuan, and 5.165 billion yuan, respectively [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 249 million yuan, 341 million yuan, and 455 million yuan for 2024-2026, respectively [5] - EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted at 1.99 yuan, 2.73 yuan, and 3.65 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 45x, 33x, and 25x [5] Financial Ratios - Gross margin is expected to improve from 39.71% in 2023 to 45.29% in 2024, with net margin rising from -7.51% to 8.03% [11] - ROE is projected to increase from -2.88% in 2023 to 3.97% in 2024, and further to 6.63% by 2026 [11] - The company's asset turnover ratio is expected to improve from 0.32 in 2023 to 0.62 in 2026, indicating better operational efficiency [11]
华宝新能：2024年三季报点评：Q3净利同增889%，经营向上拐点已现