Workflow
Unity Software Inc:全年指引上调,期待广告业务进展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Unity (U.US) with a target price raised to 25,indicatingapotentialupsideof2925, indicating a potential upside of 29% from the current price of 22.21 [4][7][18]. Core Insights - Unity's Q3 2024 revenue reached 447million,exceedingmarketexpectationsof447 million, exceeding market expectations of 410 million. The strategic revenue segment was 429million,showinga2429 million, showing a 2% year-over-year decline. Adjusted EBITDA was 92 million, also above prior guidance. The company has raised its Q4 guidance, expecting strategic revenue between 422millionand422 million and 427 million, corresponding to a 0%-1% year-over-year growth [2][4]. - Subscription revenue continues to show double-digit growth, with Q3 2024 Create Solutions revenue at 132million,a5132 million, a 5% year-over-year increase. The company has shifted back to a seat-based subscription model, which is expected to enhance revenue predictability and developer adoption [3][4]. - Unity's advertising segment is making positive strides, with Q3 2024 Grow Solutions revenue at 298 million, a 5% year-over-year decline. The company is investing in a new data platform to improve user acquisition and monetization performance [4]. Financial Summary - For FY 2024E, Unity's revenue is projected at 1.787billion,withadjustedEBITDAmarginexpectedtobe211.787 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin expected to be 21%. For FY 2025E, revenue is forecasted at 1.805 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 23% [6][10]. - The company reported a total revenue of 1.391billioninFY2022,whichincreasedto1.391 billion in FY 2022, which increased to 2.187 billion in FY 2023. However, a decline is expected in FY 2024E, followed by a slight recovery in FY 2025E and FY 2026E [10][11].