Sea(SE)2024-11-14 03:12Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price raised to $125 [7][9] Core Views - Sea's 3Q24 revenue reached $4.33 billion, up 30.8% YoY, surpassing market expectations by 6.4% [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for 3Q24 was $520 million, exceeding market expectations by 8.4% [5] - Adjusted net profit for 3Q24 was $330 million, 6.2% above market expectations [5] E-commerce Business - E-commerce revenue in 3Q24 was $3.18 billion, up 43% YoY, with core market revenue growing 49% and value-added services revenue up 29% [5] - GMV increased 25% YoY to $25.1 billion, with total orders up 24% to 2.8 billion [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for e-commerce turned positive at $34.5 million, with $30.9 million from Asia and $3.5 million from other markets [5] - The company maintains its full-year GMV growth guidance of around 25% [5] Digital Financial Services - Digital financial services revenue in 3Q24 was $620 million, up 38% YoY, driven by consumer and SME lending [6] - Loan principal increased 73% YoY to $4.6 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio improving to 1.2% [6] - Adjusted EBITDA for digital financial services was $190 million, up 13% YoY [6] Digital Entertainment - Digital entertainment revenue in 3Q24 was $500 million, down 16% YoY due to deferred revenue, but game revenue grew 24% YoY to $560 million [6] - Quarterly active users increased 16% YoY, and quarterly paying users grew 24% [6] - Adjusted EBITDA for digital entertainment was $310 million, up 34% YoY [6] - Free Fire remained the top-downloaded mobile game globally in 3Q24, with daily active users exceeding 100 million [6] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024E and 2025E were raised to $16.3 billion and $18.9 billion, respectively [7] - Adjusted net profit for 2024E and 2025E is projected at $1.09 billion and $1.73 billion, respectively [8] - Adjusted target P/E ratios for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 69.0x, 43.5x, and 31.9x, respectively [8] Valuation and Market Performance - The current stock price is $107.65, with a 52-week range of $34.35 to $117.52 [9] - The total market capitalization stands at $61.61 billion [9] - The stock has shown significant outperformance relative to the S&P 500 index over the past year [9]