Workflow
京东物流:盈利性持续改善,未来重视收入端增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its potential for revenue growth and profitability improvements [2][7] Core Views - The company's revenue growth is driven by its integration with Taotian, which is expected to enhance customer ARPU and attract new clients [2][5] - Cost reduction measures have significantly improved profitability, with adjusted net profit increasing by 205.1% YoY in 2024Q3 [6] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 180.3 billion, 196.0 billion, and 211.2 billion RMB in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with adjusted net profit margins of 4.0%, 4.1%, and 4.2% [7] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024Q3, the company's total revenue reached 44.4 billion RMB, a 6.6% YoY increase [5] - Integrated supply chain revenue was 20.7 billion RMB, with internal revenue from JD Group growing 8.1% YoY to 12.79 billion RMB, while external revenue was 7.87 billion RMB, with customer numbers up 9.4% but ARPU down 7.4% [5] - Other customer revenue grew 7.6% YoY to 23.7 billion RMB, supported by improved service capabilities and expanded air routes [5] Cost Efficiency - In 2024Q3, employee benefits, outsourcing costs, rental costs, depreciation, and other operating costs were 14.6 billion, 15.0 billion, 3.1 billion, 1.1 billion, and 5.4 billion RMB, respectively, with changes of +4.8%, +2.7%, 0.0%, +10.0%, and -5.3% YoY [6] - Gross margin improved to 11.7%, up 3.8 percentage points YoY, driven by automation, optimized vehicle scheduling, and network structure improvements [6] Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance service quality by increasing transportation routes and frontline staff, while exploring opportunities in industrial belts [7] - Integration with Taotian is expected to provide a new revenue stream, contributing to future growth [7]